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Azteq Intelligence Cambodia · Laos · Channel
Live · W07 published FY26 Q3 · Apr – Jun 2026
Weekly Forecast · Q3 FY26 · Week 07

Five lines of business.
One quarter under pressure.

Cambodia and Laos have navigated a stack of macro shocks this quarter — Middle East energy crisis, Thai-Cambodia border closure, Khmer New Year pull-back, and ongoing scam-crackdown affordability hits. Across seven weekly submissions, total iPhone CQ guidance has moved ±2.3 %; AirPods, the highest-volume LOB, has held within ±2.7 %. This is how each line has tracked.

§ 01 — Forecast Evolution

Trajectory across submissions.

Each line is a separate weekly submission. Where they bunch, the team's view is converging. Where they fan out, the macro story shifted between submissions.

Trajectory

All seven submissions overlaid · units per week

Revision intensity

Δ between latest submission and W01 opening call, by week of quarter. Green = guidance raised; warm = lowered. Quiet rows = stable call; busy rows = the macro pushed back.

§ 02 — Key Asks

Allocation requests.

SKU-level supply asks for the current LOB and submission week, consolidated from Cambodia and Laos channel teams. Each SKU is tagged with its movement vs the prior week — new asks, holds, increases, decreases. Use the submission rail above to step through Q3W01 → Q3W06.

§ 02.5 — Pricing & Channel Offers · iPhone

Grey market, official channel, and the gap.

Parallel-import (grey) min price across five regional SKUs against Apple's RRP, alongside the weekly Wk04 → Wk07 offers from ten official channel partners. Where the grey-vs-official gap narrows, the channel's pricing power strengthens.

Grey-market price trend

Daily minimum PI across regional variants · vs RRP

Channel offer matrix

Sticker price + bundle by retailer, weeks 04 → 07. Highlighted cells show week-over-week price changes. Bundle composition is the lever — retailers stack screens, cases, adapters, Falcon Trust+ warranty, EarPods, MagSafe accessories and power banks instead of cutting headline price.

§ 03 — Channel Commentary

Week-by-week field notes.

ST/SO movement, foot traffic, promotion levers, holiday impacts — recorded each week from the channel and surfaced here as a continuous log across all LOBs.

§ 04 — Market Intelligence

The macro signal stack.

Curated economic, geopolitical and consumer signals from Cambodia and Laos — context behind every line on the forecast chart.

SYNTHESIS
The composite picture: demand softness driven by a stack of external shocks — oil prices passing through to logistics and consumer affordability, border closures muting tourism and cross-border retail, and an online-scam crackdown tightening household cash flow. Channel response: sustained cash-back promotions, preserved sell-through, SKU rebalancing toward 17 Pro Max and the new 17 Pro Deep Blue line. Emerging W07 signal: grey-market product thinning on supply issues — a possible rebound for official-channel sell-out if the regulator's enforcement message holds.